San Jose State vs Nevada 10/9/2010

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Nevada is a heavy favorite winning 98% of simulations over San Jose State. Colin Kaepernick is averaging 203 passing yards and 2.1 TDs per simulation and Vai Taua is projected for 171 rushing yards and a 90% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 2% of simulations where San Jose State wins, Jordan La Secla averages 1.61 TD passes vs 0.41 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.77 TDs to 0.82 interceptions. Brandon Rutley averages 54 rushing yards and 0.53 rushing TDs when San Jose State wins and 44 yards and 0.24 TDs in losses. Nevada has a 43% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 100% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NEV -38

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